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AP Statistics Revision 1st Semester

AB
Individualobjects described by set of data
Variablethe characteristics of individual
Categorical / Qualatativeseparates individuals into categories
Quantitative Variablenumerical values
To describe distribution is todescribe Shape, Center and Spread
Outlierany data that falls outside the overall pattern (to prove, Q3+(1.5*IQR) < x or x < Q1-(1.5*IQR))
Symmetricif the right and left are mirror image of each other
Skewed to the righttail to the right
Ogivea Relative cumulative frequency graph
IQRQ3 - Q1
Five Number SummaryMinimum, Q1, M, Q3, Maximum
BoxplotLabel, minimum, Q1, Q3, M, MAX
Modified Boxplota boxplot that excludes outliers
Variance(standard deviation) power 2
Properties of Standard Deviation1) measures spread about the mean when mean is chosen as center, 2) s = 0 when no spread, 3) s is not resistant
Median and IQR areresistant
mean, SD, variance, range are notresistant
Response Variablemeasures an outcome of a study
Explanatory Variableattempts to explain the observed outcome
Scatterplotshows relationship b/t two quantitative variables
Examining scatterplot 3 waysForm (straight or curved line), Direction+/-, Strength (strong?weak?mod?)
AssociationPostive Association or Negative Association
Correlationmeasure direction and strength, R
SSTsum of (y-mean of y)2
SSEsum of (y- y hat)2
R squared(2)(SST-SSE)/(SST)
What is coefficient of determinationr2 (the fraction of variation in values of y)
LSRLalways passes (mean of x, mean of y)
Residualobserved y - predicted y
Mean of LSR is?0
residual plotincreasing spread, curved pattern, linear
Outlierif it is removed, the r2 will improve
Influential Observationif it is removed, the r2 will aggravate
Definition of Density Curve1) is y > 0 2) area of 1
In a skewed graph, which is closer to the tail; mean or medianmean
In a normal curve mean and median are?equal
Mediana point that divides the area equally
Inflection Points1SD of mean
the Emperical Rule68%, 95%, 99.7%
Standardized Valuez = (x-average)/(SD)
Assessing Normality1) constructing frequency histogram or stemplot (to see if they are symmetric about mean) 2) make normal probability plot
Monotonic Functionf(t) moves in one direction when t increases
ConcavityConcave up, down
log(A*B)LOG A + LOG B
log(A/B)LOG A - LOG B
log x^pp log X
Exponential model1.06^x
Power modelx^1.06
correlation and LSRL are resistant?NO
Extrapolationpredicting another data
lurking variablea variable that is not explanatory or reponse
Causationone cause other (not necessarily 100% causation)
Common Responsethe variables x and y are explained by z
Confoundedeffects on reponse variable
Marginal Distributiondepending on the margin
roundoff errorwhen the numbers dont add up due to rounding error
Conditional Distributiononly satisfied the condition
Simpsons paradoxwhen the direction of comparison is REVERSED by combining them
Observational studyno influence on outcome
experimentCRITICAL influence on the outcome
voluntary response samplewho chooses to appeal
convenience samplingeasiest to reach
biasedif it systematically favors certain outcome
SRSset of individuals has an equal chance to be selected
stratified random samplepre determines the group called strata
Undercoveragewhen some groups are left out of survey
Nonreponseindividuals cant be contacted or does not cooperate
wording effectsbad wording (quesitons)
Statistically signiificantan observed effect so large that it would rarely occur by chance
Double-blindboth dont know about experiment
lack of realismwhen they know its a experiment
matched pair designput two on one
5 SIMULATION STEPS1) state the problem. 2) state the assumptions and INDEPENDENCY, 3) represent outcomes, 4) simulate, 5) conclude
randomnessregular distribution of outcomes come in a large number reps
sample space Sset of all possible outcomes
Eventany outcome
Probability Modelsample space S and a way of assigning probabilities to events
empty eventdisjoint
Define Independent1) P(A and B) = P(A)P(B) or 2) P(B|A) = P(B)
Disjoint events are NOTINDEPENDENT
Conditional ProbabilityP(A|B) = whats the probability of A GIVEN THAT B occured
P(B|A)P(A∩B)/P(A)
Discrete random varibale Xhas countable number of possible values
probability distribution Xlists the vales and their probabilities
Continuous random variable Xevery number is so small that it needs a range
MEAN of a random variableSum of (Event X x probability)
varianceS^2 = (x - mean)^2 probability
law of large numberswhen simulated so many times, they become stable
if X and Y are independent,S(X+Y)^2 = S^2 X + S^2 Y
variance of independent random variablesX and Y with correlation S(X+Y)^2 = S^2 X + S^2 Y + 2psXsY


Dunn School

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